For the first time since 2015, we have a situation where three of four divisional round matchups feature point spreads of more than a touchdown. That can be a bit scary after an upset-filled Wild Card Weekend. But history tells us it would be pretty rare for all three of those games to turn into blowouts.Of that featured a team favored by more than a touchdown, the underdog is 12-8 against the spread. Take out the and the 'dogs are 10-2 against the spread. It stands to reason we should see a couple of these teams compete with the home favorite and perhaps one blowout.Even of the teams who covered a full touchdown or more over that spread, we're not talking about a ton of easy wins. Outside of New England (again -- I don't need to explain why right?), the three teams covered by a TOTAL of four points. Also worth noting: the teams who didn't cover went 7-5 straight up, which is not exactly an impre sive record for teams who are favored by that many points.Also worth noting Part Deux: in the eight games where the favored team covered, the over is 8-0. The over is just 5-7 in games where the underdog covered. That makes some sense. If a team is going to win by 8+ points, it stands to reason they need to score plenty of points David Bote Jersey . The teams who covered those spread scored an average of 36.8 points per game. The average over-under in those games was 47.I'm not entirely sure how predictive all of that can be, but if you think the or or are going to steamroll their opponent this week, maybe parlay it with the over. (Or just don't also take the under.) There's a live betting spot here too -- if it looks like a team is going to keep it close early, you can hit the under. If it looks like a runaway train, maybe hit the over. Just a thought.If you're wondering how all the new coaches wound up where they did,and Ryan Wilson joined Will Brinson to break down the latest NFL trends, size up Tua's draft stock and more on the Pick Six Podcast. Listen below andfor daily NFL goodne s. +7 at 49ersOne of many regrets from Wild Card Weekend was me not picking the Vikings to beat the outright. I knew it was po sible, I just didn't believe. Now I might be making another mistake, but I think the Vikings can hang here too. The 49ers are a very good football team. They're off a bye, they're well coached and, most importantly, they have a strength -- their defensive line -- that matches up really well with the Vikings biggest weakne s -- their offensive line. I am extremely concerned about the 49ers pushing around the Vikings front, getting pre sure on , getting a lead and snuffing out Minnesota with late, aggre sive playcalling. But I BELIEVE. This is just the sixth time since 1990 (the current playoff format) we've seen both No. 6 seeds advance on Wild Card Weekend, including 2005, 2008, 2010, 2013 and 2018. However, we haven't actually seen a No. 6 seed beat a No. 1 seed in the following week since the 2010 toppled the Patriots back in the halcyon Ki s the Ring days of Rex Ryan vs. Bill Belichick. The Vikings profile fairly similarly to that Jets team, with a better offense. I'll take my chances they keep it close and cover.Get into the playoff action by playing CBS Sports Playoff Pick'em. Pick the games for yourfree chance to win $5,000or start a fully customizable pool with friends. Terms Apply. +9.5 at RavensThis is one where I would probably want to get the full 10 points if I'm taking the Titans. The Ravens are terrifying. They won 12 games to close out the season, their last lo s coming against the , when they gave up a 40-burger to Cleveland. has played in the playoffs before. He -- people ! -- so he's not a rookie here. My only concern with the Titans here is similar to that of the Vikings: if they get down early, which happens to a lot of teams against the Ravens, can they come back using only and A.J. Brown/Jonnu Smith? Their offense is predicated
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